Trailer for Xavier Dolan's Laurence Anyways
You may remember that it was the French Premiere that broke the news that Wes Anderson's Moonrise Kingdom would be opening the Cannes Film Festival on May 16. Now, via Andre Soares at the Alt Film Guide, comes word that the magazine has posted "Cannes 2012: Le buzzomètre," a list of films that are the most and least likely to appear in one or another of the festival's lineups — and in general order of probability, too. If you read French (and if not, there's always Google, of course), you can catch up on the reasoning behind their probability ratings, but here, for the sake of brevity, we'll simply stick to titles, directors and the taux de présence potentielle:
Likely
- Un gout de rouille et d'os (Rust & Bone), Jacques Audiard, 99.1%.
- To Rome with Love, Woody Allen, 99.99%.
- Vous n'avez encore rien vu, Alain Resnais, 99.999%.
- Cosmopolis, David Cronenberg, 99.2%.
- On the Road, Walter Salles, 95%.
- Amour (Love), Michael Haneke, 95%.
- Laurence Anyways, Xavier Dolan, 90%.
- Killing Them Softly, Andrew Dominik, 93%.
- Mishima, Koji Wakamatsu, 90%.
- The End, Abbas Kiarostami, 85%.
- Elefante blanco, Pablo Trapero, 89%.
- Le Grand soir, Gustave de Kervern and Benoît Delépine, 92%.
- Post Tenebras Lux, Carlos Reygadas, 90%.
- In the Fog, Sergei Loznitsa, 89%.
- Holly Motors, Léos Carax, 88%.
- The Funeral, Terrence Malick, 80%.
- Dans la maison, François Ozon, 77%.
- Après Mai (Something in the Air), Olivier Assayas, 81%.
- Superstar, Xavier Giannoli, 72%.
Outsiders
- Mud, Jeff Nichols, 70%.
- Stoker, Park Chan-wook, 65%.
- The Broken Circle Breakdown, Felix Van Groeningen, 69%.
- Aimer à perdre la raison (Loving Without Reason), Joachim Lafosse, 79%.
- The We & the I, Michel Gondry, 79%.
- Sightseers, Ben Wheatley, 75%.
- Pierre de patience, Atiq Rahimi, 73%.
- No, Pablo Larraín, 75%.
- Quelques heures de printemps, Stéphane Brizé, 72%.
- Main dans la main (Hand in Hand), Valerie Donzelli, 65%.
Maybe, Maybe Not
- The Master, Paul Thomas Anderson, 40%.
Not Likely
- The Grandmasters, Wong Kar-wai, 5%.
- Only God Forgives, Nicolas Refn Winding, 9%.
- Jimmy Picard, Arnaud Desplechin, 0%.
Meantime, after seeing the teaser for Cosmopolis, Neil Young has recast his odds on the winner of the Palme d'Or at Cannes 2012.
For news and tips throughout the day every day, follow @thedailyMUBI on Twitter and/or the RSS feed.